How do you when you have narrowed down the guest list enough? FI and I are shooting for a 200 person wedding. Venue caps at 240. Right now we have 273. There are 40 people whom we can say w/ 95 percent certainty WON'T be there. (They have either told us flat out already or are part of my family from up north who won't travel for anything). I am nervous about inviting over capacity but FI thinks that w/ the people who we can almost say for sure aren't coming, that we should be solid since we are only sending out 233 "real" invitations. Is that true? Inviting at capacity means cutting 30 more ppl, and I would hate do to that and then find out that the finals numbers were much lower than 200 and know that we could've invited ppl that we didn't... help much appreciated!